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Fantasy football buzz: Why drafting Jonathan Taylor carries risk

Fantasy football buzz: Why drafting Jonathan Taylor carries risk


Everything that happens in the NFL has additional context when viewed from a fantasy football perspective. From position battles to injuries and so much more, the news cycle will constantly affect player values in fantasy football.

Our Fantasy Football buzz file, with contributions from our ESPN fantasy writers and our NFL Nation reporters, aims to provide fantasy managers with the intel they need as news breaks around the league.


July 17: Reasons for concern about Jonathan Taylor

Liz Loza: Taylor has become one of the position’s most reliable producers, finishing inside the top 12 among fantasy running backs in four of six campaigns. Volume has long floated his production, as he averages 18.4 carries per contest in his career. The whispers about adjusting his upcoming workload are Indy’s version of summer stock: pure theater.

Entering the final year of his contract and on a roster scant of talent, Taylor figures to remain the centerpiece of the Colts’ offense in 2026. The question is not how often he’ll be fed but, rather, if he can withstand the projected feast.

A running back has cleared 300 totes in consecutive seasons just 15 times over the past two decades. Taylor and Derrick Henry are the only two backs to have done so in the past two seasons.

Just six of the other 13 backs reached 1,000 rushing yards the following season and only four of them played in every game (LaDainian Tomlinson, Chris Johnson, Michael Turner, Marshawn Lynch).

There is one notable constant: a drop in workload. These 13 players averaged 89.9 fewer carries the next season and all of them saw a decline of more than 20 carries.

Daniel Jones’ return from injury further complicates matters for Taylor’s output. The 27-year-old Taylor’s numbers plummeted after Jones tore his Achilles in Week 14. Despite seeing a slight uptick in rushing opportunities, Taylor’s efficiency and fantasy points per outing dropped significantly. While Jones is expected to be under center in Week 1, a setback could torpedo Taylor’s stock.

Taylor’s feature-back status certainly provides potential investors with a high floor. However, his extensive mileage and history of ankle issues make drafting a premium wide receiver — like Amon-Ra St. Brown or CeeDee Lamb — a perfectly viable alternative.



July 15: Why free agent Stefon Diggs is a value right now

Eric Karabell: A notable wide receiver, who caught 85 passes for 1,013 yards last season and outscored Drake London, CeeDee Lamb and Justin Jefferson in PPR formats, remains without a team to perform with as training camp approaches. This receiver can be controversial, of course (though he isn’t alone in that respect), which might explain why he has been employed for three franchises over the past three seasons, but it is hard to argue with the numbers.

What should fantasy managers do about four-time Pro Bowl WR Stefon Diggs?

Diggs, 32, made unfortunate news this offseason for off-field conduct, but there doesn’t appear to be a potential NFL suspension lurking for when he finds a team. Diggs has been vocal recently, stating on his own YouTube channel “you can’t name a better No. 2 [WR] than me,” and, according to ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler, “at least five teams have been checking in on Diggs.” This makes sense. NFL teams covet production, often at any financial (or other) cost.

Other than the 2024 season with the Houston Texans, which was interrupted by a serious knee injury, Diggs has been a model of on-field consistency, topping 1,000 receiving yards seven times, sailing past 100 receptions five times and scoring double-digit touchdowns twice. He starred for the Minnesota Vikings, Buffalo Bills and, last season, New England Patriots, who ostensibly replaced him with former Philadelphia Eagles star A.J. Brown. Perhaps a reunion is possible, perhaps not, but some NFL team must sign the talented Diggs.

Diggs continues to find a home in our weekly mock drafts at ESPN Fantasy, but clearly far later than his 2025 numbers and his potential 2026 statistics warrant. Perhaps there is no “right time” to take the chance, but if Diggs signs with an NFL team tomorrow, those that passed him up in drafts that matter to them may regret it. I selected Diggs late in the 11th round of the Scott Fish Bowl industry slow draft (12 teams, modified PPR), well after the top 100 and a few spots before I took Bills WR Khalil Shakir. I felt the upside of Diggs was worth it there. He had fallen far enough.

In ESPN leagues, Diggs is currently outside of the top 50 for wide receivers in ADP, going in the range of Carolina Panthers third-year option Jalen Coker, New York Jets rookie Omar Cooper Jr. and Tennessee Titans veteran Calvin Ridley. This seems like incredible value. Diggs is rostered in only 32.4% of leagues, though up slightly during the past week. This probably reflects fantasy managers seeing Diggs commenting, perhaps presuming a resolution to his unemployment will soon be remedied.

Who really knows for sure? Perhaps we’re still talking about Diggs in a month, or perhaps no NFL franchise wants to deal with this situation. Both of those seem unlikely. This well-established fellow scored 210.3 fantasy points last season. It will not be long before he finds work and his projection and ranking adjust. If you happen to be drafting soon, get ahead of the news and consider Diggs before it is too late.


July 14: Jalen Coker among trio of WRs to target late in drafts

Matt Bowen: Everyone is looking for some upside late in fantasy drafts. Players who can emerge at some point during the season. Where there’s path to weekly production. Today, let’s look at three players on my radar who are being undervalued at this point of the summer. We’ll start in Carolina.

Jalen Coker, Carolina Panthers

Tetairoa McMillan is the No. 1 in Carolina. We know that. But I saw enough from Coker over the second half of last season to keep him on my draft board this summer. Coker missed time to start last season due to an injury, but from Weeks 11-18 he averaged 11.0 PPG with four games of double-digit production and had a touchdown reception in three. Coker has the vertical stretch ability to win down the field, plus he can run the deep in-breakers or see the ball on three-step quicks underneath. I see a versatile target here with multi-level ability, and the growth of Panthers quarterback Bryce Young in Dave Canales’ system matters here, too. The arrow is pointing up on Coker, the No. 2 in the Carolina route tree. Grab him in the later rounds.

Romeo Doubs, New England Patriots

The trade for A.J. Brown has quieted the talk on Doubs and his role in the Patriots pass game this season. But let’s remember that Doubs signed a four-year deal with New England, which included $39 million in guarantees. Doubs, who averaged 10.3 PPG in Green Bay last season, is willing to work the middle of the field, plus he can uncover in the red zone. Doubs caught four of his six touchdowns last season on throws inside the 10-yard line, and he saw nine end zone targets. As the No. 2 opposite Brown, Doubs doesn’t bring a high-end ceiling to the lineup, but he can be a reliable target with PPR juice for quarterback Drake Maye. And I just landed Doubs in the 11th round of our 12-team PPR mock draft. Good value for a player who could produce some WR3 weeks this season.

Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Jr. is gone. He’s in Pittsburgh now. That leaves Downs to compete for targets with boundary receiver Alec Pierce and tight end Tyler Warren in Indianapolis. So, let’s target Downs in the Colts’ system as a dynamic mover in the slot — with PPR upside. From Weeks 1-13 last season, before the injury to quarterback Daniel Jones, Downs had five games of double-digit production with six receptions in four. While Downs won’t post big touchdown numbers (11 touchdown receptions over three seasons), he’s in line to see a boost in target volume this season. Put him on the radar as a potential WR3/Flex.


July 10: Five players with breakout potential in IDP leagues

Eric Moody: Individual Defensive Player (IDP) fantasy leagues are often won by finding defenders who outperform their average draft position after the obvious names are gone. These five sleepers all have a clear path to more snaps or a bigger role in 2026, making them worth targeting later in drafts.

Payton Wilson, LB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Wilson could take a big step simply by staying on the field in a strong front-seven environment. He has played every game over the last two seasons and improved his tackle and sack totals from 2024 to 2025. New defensive coordinator Patrick Graham’s simpler defensive scheme should help Wilson play faster, better understand what’s happening around him, and turn his athleticism into more snaps and tackles.

Nic Scourton, DL, Carolina Panthers: Scourton showed flashes late in his rookie season and now gets the benefit of a better supporting cast around him. He finished 2025 tied for the team lead with 5.0 sacks, ranked second with 34 pressures, added 47 tackles and had seven tackles for loss. With improved hand work and more one-on-one opportunities next to Jaelan Phillips and Derrick Brown, Scourton has a real chance to take a major step in his second season.

Malaki Starks, DB, Baltimore Ravens: Starks’ role next to Kyle Hamilton should create big-play opportunities this season. Hamilton does so much work near the line of scrimmage that Starks should get more freedom to play deep, read the quarterback and capitalize on hurried throws. That might cap his tackle upside, but it boosts his chances for interceptions and passes defended in his second NFL season.

Laiatu Latu, DL, Indianapolis Colts: Latu has already shown the fantasy production and pressure rate to support a breakout. He became a full-time starter in his second season in 2025, posted good sack (8.5) and tackle for loss (12) numbers last season and even added three interceptions. Most importantly, he ranked in the top 10 in pressure rate among edge rushers, which points to legitimate double-digit sack upside.

Jalyx Hunt, DL, Philadelphia Eagles: Hunt’s second-half surge is exactly the kind of trend worth chasing late in fantasy drafts this summer. After a slow start, Hunt stockpiled 33 tackles, 5.5 sacks and two interceptions from Weeks 10-18. Even in a part-time role, Hunt led the Eagles in pressures (55) and sacks (8) for the season. If that momentum carries over, he could crush his ADP.


July 9: Houston, we’ve got RB potential!

Tristan H. Cockcroft: The run game hasn’t been stellar during DeMeco Ryans’ three-year tenure as the Houston Texans’ head coach. His teams have placed 22nd, 15th and 22nd in rushing during that time, with nine different running backs getting double-digit carries in a game. Joe Mixon (17th in 2024) was the only one to finish higher than 29th at the position in fantasy points in any of those years.

But after an offseason that saw the Texans trade for veteran running back David Montgomery and bolster their offensive line by adding free agents Braden Smith and Wyatt Teller and drafting Keylan Rutledge in the first round, things might be looking up for the team’s backfield … or are they?

Montgomery, now 29, is coming off the worst of his seven seasons to date, though he was playing in a supporting role behind star Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs. In his first two years in Detroit, Montgomery placed in the top 15 at the position in fantasy points per game (12th in 2023, 15th in 2024), and bear in mind the latter came in a season when Gibbs led all running backs in scoring. Montgomery’s speed and big-play metrics, while never top-shelf, remained consistent across his three years with the Lions, and, despite his age, his workloads have never been particularly concerning.

In Houston, Montgomery is expected to serve as the lead back, taking the reins from second-year Woody Marks, whose 79.5 fantasy points after taking over as the starter in Week 10 of last season ranked 32nd among running backs. Marks is expected to maintain a meaningful role, though all indications are that he’ll more likely be used as a change-of-pace and passing-down back.

It’s that passing department where the Texans’ backfield struggles become most clear: Ryans’ teams have targeted the running back on 15.4% of their pass attempts, sixth lowest in the league, signaling Ryans’ and quarterback C.J. Stroud’s preference for their deep crop of wide receivers and tight ends. The team returns largely the same receiving room, meaning this might again be a bottom-half squad as far as running back targets, but there are reasons for optimism nevertheless.

Montgomery’s arrival gives the Texans a much more suitable backfield tandem than their 2025 model. Marks, for example, was a considerably better receiving back in the eight games he played behind Nick Chubb to begin the season, averaging 5.2 fantasy points per game on passing plays with a 20.8% target share, compared with 2.7 and 12.6% after he took over as the starter. Montgomery, meanwhile, has proved to be a capable pass catcher in his own right, averaging 4.3 fantasy points per game on passing plays and having three seasons of 30-plus receptions. He’ll cede most of that work to Marks but should prove at least adequate in that area.

The offensive line remains a concern, however, as Rutledge, Smith and Teller boost what was one of the league’s worst overall units in 2025, though none represents a substantial upgrade. Smith and Teller have injury concerns, missing 17 games between them the past two seasons, while Rutledge will be transitioning to center after primarily playing right guard in college. A lot of things will need to go right on the offensive line if the Texans’ backfield is to truly reach the league’s upper tiers.

Considering that this is Montgomery’s best opportunity for a big rushing workload in three years, and that he’s likely to handle the bulk of goal-line chances, he’s a plenty capable fantasy RB2. His No. 25 positional ADP — behind 22 clear starters and two tandem backs (TreVeyon Henderson, Jadarian Price) — paints the picture of a relative fantasy bargain.

Marks, meanwhile, is going 42nd among running backs, one spot ahead of the running back who inherited Montgomery’s old job in Detroit, Isiah Pacheco. Marks’ potential spike in receiving work, which will better use his skill set, makes him a relative value for the price tag in PPR leagues as well.

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July 8: Don’t sleep on 49ers’ Pearsall late in drafts

Eric Karabell: San Francisco 49ers WR Ricky Pearsall has played in only 20 of 34 NFL games since being selected No. 31 in the 2024 NFL draft, as injuries and bad luck (including being shot) have hampered him. Pearsall is healthy today (well, who isn’t?) and in line to start for one football’s most creative and productive offenses. Yeah, MVP candidate RB Christian McCaffrey, WR Mike Evans coming from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and TE George Kittle are options for QB Brock Purdy, but do not overlook Pearsall.

After all, Pearsall, 25, has performed well when healthy. He started last season with a pair of 100-yard receiving efforts in September before a knee injury cost him six weeks. Pearsall had 96 receiving yards in Week 15 and reached 85 in Week 17. No 49ers WR reached 650 receiving yards for the season, but Pearsall led the squad by averaging 58.7 receiving yards in his nine games.

Predicting injury is dangerous and difficult, and one can see how productive this 49ers offense might be if the key players can simply stay on the field. Purdy averaged 4,000 passing yards for the 2023-24 seasons. McCaffrey, even with volume reduced from last season — how can it not be? — remains stellar. Evans was a 1,000-yard receiver every year until 2025, and Kittle has achieved that mark four times. Purdy’s main targets are at least 30 years old except Pearsall. With a little luck, perhaps we’ll get to enjoy a full season and a full breakout. Consider Pearsall late in fantasy drafts.


July 7: Five players who are value picks in best ball drafts (or any format)

Mike Clay: We’re not quite in the heart of fantasy football draft season, but DraftKings best ball drafts have been running for months. I’ve drafted my fair share of squads, and a close look at my exposure magnified several underrated players scattered throughout the draft pool.

Jeremiyah Love, RB, Cardinals: The third overall pick in April’s NFL draft, Love is looking to become the 10th consecutive running back drafted in the top 12 to finish top 12 in fantasy points as a rookie. Effective as both a rusher and receiver, Love has an elite statistical ceiling but can be had at the Round 2/3 turn.

Michael Pittman Jr., WR, Steelers: The new Steelers’ wide receiver has finished as a top-20 fantasy scorer four of the past five seasons but can be had in the ninth round of drafts. Pittman isn’t a big touchdown scorer, but he has produced 800-plus receiving yards for four years in a row and has a good shot to pace the Aaron Rodgers-led Steelers in receptions.

Jerry Jeudy, WR, Browns: This one might raise an eyebrow, but a 15th-round ADP for a player of Jeudy’s caliber is a bit of a head-scratcher. Yes, 2025 was a disaster (he averaged a career-low 7.1 fantasy points per game), but he was a top-25 receiver in two of the prior three seasons (including 12th in 2024) and is still in his prime at age 27. Even with added target competition, Jeudy is Cleveland’s best pass catcher and well worth a late-round dart throw.

Ray Davis, RB, Bills: The late rounds were made for insurance running back lottery tickets, and Davis is one of my favorites. Sure, he has near zero stand-alone value, but should James Cook III miss time, Davis will be the lead rusher in one of the NFL’s top offenses. We saw that scenario three times over the past two seasons and Davis averaged 21.0 touches, 130.3 yards and 19.4 fantasy PPG in those outings.

Jack Bech, WR, Raiders: Bech didn’t do much during an underwhelming rookie campaign — he cleared three targets in a game only twice and failed to score a touchdown — but the 2025 second-round draft pick has a new offensive playcaller, a new quarterback and minimal target competition. The TCU product is one of my favorite Hail Mary picks in the 19th or 20th round.


July 6: The Buccaneers backfield offers excellent value

Eric Moody: Bucky Irving and Kenny Gainwell are two of my favorite values at their current average draft positions, and I want exposure to this Buccaneers backfield in as many drafts as possible.

Irving is the RB20 in our draft trends and could outperform his average draft position. His 2025 season was disappointing, but it also created the discount. As a rookie, he produced 1,514 total yards, eight touchdowns and 5.4 yards per carry in 17 games while looking like one of the most dynamic runners in football, consistently making defenders miss and turning ordinary touches into explosive gains. Irving then fell to 865 total yards, four touchdowns and 3.4 YPC last season while missing seven games. The statistical drop looks ugly on the surface, but context is important. Irving dealt with foot, shoulder and knee injuries, underwent offseason shoulder surgery, and was running behind a Buccaneers offensive line that was wrecked by injuries and finished 27th in run block win rate.

The Buccaneers’ OL should be healthier entering the season and better up front. Tristan Wirfs, Luke Goedeke, Graham Barton and Cody Mauch give Tampa Bay a solid foundation if the group stays healthy. This OL was a problem last year because it could not stay intact, not because it lacks talent. That positions Irving as a bounceback candidate, especially with sources telling ESPN’s Adam Schefter in late May that he should be ready later this summer as he rehabs his shoulder. We also have Irving projected to lead the Buccaneers’ backfield in touches.

Tampa Bay did bolster its depth behind Irving this offseason, signing the veteran Gainwell. He broke out late last season for the Pittsburgh Steelers, as he averaged 13.3 touches and 17.8 fantasy points from Week 8 on. He did most of his damage as a receiver, which is important in Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have consistently used running backs in the passing game, and Gainwell gives them someone who can handle that role right away. Tampa Bay also brought back Sean Tucker, who scored eight TDs (seven rushing) as a rookie, and could siphon away goal line opportunities.

Our projections suggest Irving and Gainwell should dominate the backfield touches. Irving has a clearer path to lead-back work and a higher ceiling if he returns to form, making him someone I’m comfortable drafting as my RB2. Gainwell is on the flex radar in deeper leagues and has significant upside if Irving misses time or struggles. This is a backfield I want exposure to in fantasy, and I want to leave as many drafts as possible with at least one of them on my roster.

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July 2: Loveland is Chicago’s best pick

Liz Loza: There is a heated debate brewing in the Windy City. It has nothing to do with keeping ketchup off hotdogs or pretending that Pequod’s isn’t the Toddlin’ Town’s best pie. No, this conundrum is borne out of a place of privilege. That’s because for the first time in upwards of 20 years (more if you ask the locals), Chicago is beset with an embarrassment of offensive riches. These modern day Bears boast a charming and creative play-caller, a Madden Cover QB, and three playmaking pass-catchers. What a dizzying display of abundance!

Based on current ADP, fantasy managers appear similarly high on the Bears’ corps. Colston Loveland (44.0) is presently being drafted in the fifth-round while Rome Odunze (73.9) and Luther Burden III (74.2) are both coming off the board in the eighth round. All three figure to benefit from the targets vacated by Olamide Zaccheaus (65) and D.J. Moore (85), Ben Johnson’s YAC-friendly scheme, and their individual connections with Caleb Williams.

Additionally, each member of Chicago’s “Big Three” comes equipped with his own power-up. Loveland could break the position, as he went on a tear over the back-half of 2025, wowing as fantasy’s TE2 from Weeks 9 through 18. Odunze offers big-time red zone appeal and led the team in end zone opportunities (11 looks over 12 games) during his sophomore effort. Burden flashed game-breaking speed while posting jaw-dropping efficiency metrics, registering 2.79 yards per route run (WR3).

While fans squabble over which of the two receivers will emerge as Chicago’s true No. 1, the surest virtual bet figures to be the squad’s tight end. Premier tight ends have regularly stunted the production of their team’s lead wideouts. Over the past decade, with the exception of Tyreek Hill, No. 1 WRs who shared the field with TEs averaging 15 fantasy points per game were all pushed outside of the top-15 FF producers at the position.



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